India vs China by population

Source UN (World Population Prospects 2024)
Date28 Oct 2026

India and China are the two most populous countries in the world. In 2026, India has an estimated population of 1.48 billion, while China has approximately 1.41 billion. Together, their populations total about 2.89 billion, accounting for approximately 34.81% of the world population and nearly 60% of the Asian population.

As of 2026, the population of India is approximately 63.71 million higher than that of China, as India overtook China as the world's most populous country in 2022. China's population peaked in 2021 and has been declining since then. This decline is expected to continue, with the population projected to fall below 1 billion by 2070. In contrast, India's population is growing at an annual rate of 0.90% and is projected to continue increasing until 2062. China crossed the 1 billion population milestone in 1981, while India reached it in 1997.

Although India and China have similar-sized populations, their land areas differ considerably. China is approximately 2.95 times larger than India by land area. As a result, India has a population density of around 497 people per square kilometer, compared with 147 in China, making India about 3.31 times as densely populated.

With a median age of 29.22 years, India is more than 11 years younger than China, whose median age is 40.65 years. Among people under 15, China's population is roughly 54% of India's. In contrast, China has approximately 70% more people aged over 50 than India, reflecting its older population structure.

Life expectancy in China has been higher than in India since 1950, except during 1959–1961. In 2026, life expectancy in China is 79.02 years, compared with 72.72 years in India, a difference of 6.30 years.

China's 2024 total fertility rate is estimated at 1.03 children per woman, significantly lower than India's 1.93. In 1971, both countries had nearly identical fertility rates of around 5.5 children per woman. However, China's fertility rate declined sharply, falling below 3 children per woman by 1977, while India's decline was more gradual. India took more than three decades to achieve a similar reduction in fertility, which China experienced in just six years.

Both India and China have more males than females. India's sex ratio is 106.38 males per 100 females, compared with 103.56 in China. India has a male surplus of 45.61 million, compared with 24.70 million in China.

  • Population
  • Growth
  • Fertility rate
  • Life expectancy
  • Median age
  • Birth
  • Death

Population projections

Year PopulationGrowth (%)
ChinaIndiaIndia-ChinaChinaIndia
20241,419,321,2781,450,935,79131,614,513-0.220.90
20251,416,096,0941,463,865,52547,769,431-0.230.88
20261,412,914,0891,476,625,57663,711,487-0.220.86
20271,409,679,4061,489,164,67479,485,268-0.240.83
20281,406,136,7441,501,432,73995,295,995-0.260.81
20291,402,282,7521,513,423,731111,140,979-0.280.78
20301,398,153,8321,525,138,844126,985,012-0.300.76
20351,373,427,5311,578,694,796205,267,265-0.410.62
20401,342,816,6571,622,580,039279,763,382-0.500.48
20451,306,113,7881,656,067,583349,953,795-0.620.34
20501,260,289,0931,679,589,259419,300,166-0.820.23
20551,202,342,4711,694,328,245491,985,774-1.060.12
20601,135,127,1911,700,951,714565,824,523-1.230.03
20651,065,632,5291,699,297,227633,664,698-1.29-0.07
2070998,784,3191,689,202,539690,418,220-1.30-0.17
2075934,466,6601,670,860,308736,393,648-1.37-0.27
2080870,252,3441,645,548,761775,296,417-1.49-0.34
2085806,115,0541,614,843,929808,728,875-1.57-0.41
2090744,902,8361,580,305,096835,402,260-1.58-0.46
2095687,724,0851,543,363,232855,639,147-1.62-0.49
2100633,368,1131,505,251,761871,883,648-1.68-0.51

Population estimates

Year PopulationGrowth (%)
ChinaIndiaIndia-ChinaChinaIndia
1950544,044,358346,278,821-197,765,5371.782.13
1955603,547,007387,700,887-215,846,1202.252.35
1960654,802,069435,990,338-218,811,731-0.032.38
1965723,415,733490,140,146-233,275,5872.662.18
1970823,308,967545,864,268-277,444,6992.612.32
1975916,116,793611,309,535-304,807,2581.612.35
1980983,163,542687,354,025-295,809,5171.442.36
19851,059,807,820772,647,793-287,160,0271.562.31
19901,153,582,724864,972,221-288,610,5031.742.20
19951,220,133,927960,301,044-259,832,8830.912.01
20001,269,581,1751,057,922,733-211,658,4420.771.88
20051,310,027,1361,154,676,322-155,350,8140.631.57
20101,351,561,5141,243,481,564-108,079,9500.661.44
20151,396,134,1741,328,024,498-68,109,6760.531.17
20201,426,106,0931,402,617,695-23,488,3980.090.95
20211,426,437,2671,414,203,896-12,233,371-0.050.70
20221,425,179,5691,425,423,212243,643-0.130.88
20231,422,584,9331,438,069,59615,484,663-0.240.89

Demographics Indicators

YearLife expectancy Median ageFertility rate BirthDeath
ChinaIndiaChinaIndiaChinaIndia ChinaIndiaChinaIndia
195043.8341.1822.2520.025.815.7322,293,37515,287,99812,564,0247,852,218
195547.2443.7420.6819.726.265.9125,727,52417,219,75512,148,1758,168,772
196033.4245.6119.9119.234.455.9219,310,83018,705,01119,506,1888,467,287
196553.0045.5618.4818.466.615.9430,064,19220,414,20510,676,9699,488,511
197056.8248.5918.0318.106.095.6231,461,75021,705,4209,817,5759,287,486
197560.9550.7619.0718.393.575.2023,099,72423,451,0708,240,9049,492,655
198064.2453.5920.8918.872.744.7821,674,42125,471,0687,507,1179,452,574
198566.5356.3221.7019.272.634.4324,136,25727,366,9507,541,1169,398,794
199068.1658.6223.7319.692.514.0528,079,11528,171,5197,975,0599,277,646
199570.3660.6326.1020.341.593.6519,003,36828,588,0527,548,7699,191,888
200072.2962.7528.9621.191.633.3517,551,19129,111,7127,780,0529,127,431
200574.0964.9431.7722.241.622.9616,602,72528,063,0008,214,6879,027,957
201075.6767.1634.1423.641.692.6017,912,36726,900,7118,788,7978,908,604
201576.9869.3335.6925.271.672.2917,518,17925,147,2519,521,8798,936,423
202078.0270.1637.4927.021.242.0511,843,46923,485,33910,411,38510,118,286
202178.1267.2838.0127.351.122.0110,461,12423,321,85310,759,52613,093,785
202278.2071.7038.5327.681.031.999,455,32023,286,12510,998,7299,373,178
202377.9572.0039.0728.061.001.988,899,88123,219,48911,684,1779,507,008
202478.0272.2439.5928.441.011.968,822,05623,186,97811,678,3489,557,050
202578.3772.4940.1128.831.021.948,709,35223,073,26711,716,3259,717,146
202679.0272.7240.6529.221.031.938,625,23222,988,46111,482,0439,888,274
  • Population pyramid
  • Age group share

Age Group

Age Group Population Share(%) of total
ChinaIndiaIndia-ChinaChinaIndia
00-0445,053,929112,840,75567,786,8263.197.64
05-0973,635,395116,336,05142,700,6565.217.88
10-1490,474,553122,038,95031,564,3976.408.26
15-1985,917,946126,213,66840,295,7226.088.55
20-2478,557,363128,964,06250,406,6995.568.73
25-2981,549,875126,579,85545,029,9805.778.57
30-3492,677,027120,822,65528,145,6286.568.18
35-39121,981,256114,466,174-7,515,0828.637.75
40-44105,473,091104,352,775-1,120,3167.467.07
45-4992,465,20290,619,992-1,845,2106.546.14
50-54109,221,76578,798,136-30,423,6297.735.34
55-59118,448,57966,720,701-51,727,8788.384.52
60-64103,680,63255,513,539-48,167,0937.343.76
65-6965,828,08144,157,846-21,670,2354.662.99
70-7467,079,09832,132,100-34,946,9984.752.18
75-7942,385,01419,212,160-23,172,8543.001.30
80-8422,338,44810,019,579-12,318,8691.580.68
85-8911,311,5724,782,600-6,528,9720.800.32
90-944,098,0011,660,307-2,437,6940.290.11
95-99684,548350,878-333,6700.050.02
100+52,71442,795-9,9190.000.00
Total 1,412,914,089 1,476,625,578 63,711,489 100100